There’s Always a Bull Market Somewhere – Profit on Gold and Bonds.

Join countless traders worldwide who use
the Hawkeye algorithms day in and day out to gain a powerful edge

There’s Always a Bull Market Somewhere – Profit on Gold and Bonds.

Bull Market Somewhere

While the S&P and Dow make serious corrections, the Bond and Gold markets are ripping higher as traders seek a safety net. See Randy’s breakdown and analysis in today’s market update. There’s always a bull market somewhere.

While the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq are all in correction mode, it makes trading much more difficult. It’s nice to know that there is always a bull market somewhere else. We found that in the precious metals and gold market. I expect to see @ES prices back to at least the 2900 level, but gold (@GC) should break back through the key 1500 level, and the 30 year bond (@US) should get to 164.

The @US is making a double-top so I expect it to pause, forming a pivot high. I will be looking for a 3-5 bar correction once this occurs.

Click Here for the Free Book (The Lost Art of Volume Price Analysis)

Or for a Free Trial of the Hawkeye Trading Software

Join Randy in the next free LIVE Hawkeye Demonstration Room held every Wednesday at 9.30am EST US. You will learn more about volume and volume price analysis and see more examples and live trade setups. It is open to all.

Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Learn to trade the Hawkeye way.

Where The Money Is.

One of the main questions I am asked is – what market shall I trade?

My answer is – any one where there is a feeding frenzy.

At the moment this is the British pound, the grain and agriculture complex, gold, oil, and to specialise in one market intra-day I recommend the US bonds.

And most important of all is the timeframe. PLEASE do try and trade the longer timeframes, that’s where the money is.

So let’s have a look.

Hawkeye FX GBP
FXGBP Daily Charts

Here is the new colour coded Hawkeye Tomahawke chart of all the GBP crosses.

See the many opportunities to trade on big news with Brexit. But this can also be replicated with the Euro.

Soy Beans and Hogs
Soy Beans

Live Hogs

Examples of the grain and agriculture markets. As you can see these markets are in defined trends.

US Bonds
I love this market. Why? Because you get long, defined trend runs.

US Bonds Weekly Charts 
Bonds Weekly

Just look at the weekly uptrend since the beginning of 2016, making sure you only take long trades on the daily chart.

Now, if you go to your intra-day charts you know only to look at long trades where there is lower risk.

US Bonds Daily Charts
US Bonds Daily Chart

By reading the chart the Hawkeye way, using volume and price, you can clearly see a recent double top. Two yellow dots (indicated by the magenta arrows) at the last market high, then retracing to the Hawkeye stop at the green crosses (indicated by the cyan arrow).

You know you are in congestion and pull back in the weekly trend. So, only longs to be considered till the weekly changes to a down trend.

We demonstrate this and many other methods in our live demonstration room held every Wednesday, and this is open to everyone. Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Good Fortune,

Nigel Hawkes
Hawkeye Traders

[The magenta and cyan arrows are for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

Make-Your-Mind-Up Time on US Bonds

Its make-your-mind-up time this week on the 30-year US Bonds. They have been in a range for the past year; with the FED raising interest rates one would think Bonds would sell off, but the opposite is happening, suggesting the market does not expect another rate raise for some time.

So let’s look at the charts.

US Bonds Weekly Chart
US Bonds Weekly Chart
As you can see, the price touched the upper Trend line on Friday and closed at its highs. Also the volume has seen buying for the last 6 weeks supporting this price move. However, there is overhead resistance to break through on the daily.

US Bonds Daily Chart
US Bonds Daily Chart
Hawkeye Zones clearly show resistance all the way up to 163, and buying volume is accumulating. So if these Hawkeye Zones are breached, its off to the races, and if it stalls out and breaks under 153 a downtrend will be in place.

Hawkeye Perspective
An interesting week ahead with all the turmoil in the markets. Let’s look to Bonds for a great trading opportunity.

We demonstrate this and many other methods in our live demonstration room held every Wednesday, and this is open to everyone. Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Good Fortune,

Nigel Hawkes
Hawkeye Traders

[The cyan arrows and red lines are for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

Which Market Shall I Trade?

I often get asked which is the best market to trade; my reply is Bonds. They are world’s largest market by volume of trades (contracts), and have extended trends. As always, look for the longer time frames and here Hawkeye’s Gearbox does the trick.

Bonds – Yellow Time Frame

Bonds Hawkeye GearBox Yellow Timeframe

Here, on the left of the chart, you can see the Hawkeye Gearbox producing the correct tick speed to set your charts to every day, and below is the Gearchanger showing you during the day which speed to trade i.e. yellow = the yellow tick speed etc.

Now look at the chart, you can clearly see where the magenta arrows are indicating where to go short with a full Hawkeye setup.

Bonds – Red Time Frame

Bonds Hakweye GearBox Red Timeframe
The magenta arrows show Hawkeye entries. There is a minus trade (indicated by the cyan arrow), but students of 6 ways a market moves would probably exit when the price entered the congestion zone (indicated by the red circle)

Hawkeye Perspective
Bonds give extended trends. And Hawkeye, using the yellow and red tick speed, gives many swing trade positions

We demonstrate this and many other methods in our live demonstration room held every Wednesday, and this is open to everyone. Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Good Fortune,

Nigel Hawkes
Hawkeye Traders

[The cyan and magenta arrows are for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

You Could Be Having A Breakout

Today was the first day in almost two months that the US Bonds are trying to break out.

Lets take a look at the US Bonds daily chart.

Bonds Chart

The cyan arrow points to where the market had a false break to the downside on September 15, but has since rallied .

Today, the Bonds are rallying due to weak economic information. Ideally, you would want to see the Bonds having a strong close in order to confirm a break of the dotted line 161-17. And on Monday a continuation of the rally with no part of the bar straddling the yellow dotted line.

The market is in an uptrend. However the resistance line (the yellow dotted line) has been tested multiple times (indicated by the magenta arrows), and the market appears to struggle around this price point.

So be patient.

Hawkeye Rule
Resistance is never broken until no part of the bar is straddling the old resistance.

We teach you how to get the best out of Hawkeye at our London Seminar on October 18/19 2015. You can find out more here

Now, all of this (and much more) is demonstrated in our FREE training room every Wednesday at 9am Eastern, by my colleague Randy Lindsey.

So, I cannot encourage you enough to come along to the Wednesday room.

Click Here To Reserve Your FREE Seat

Good fortune,

Nigel

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The cyan and magenta arrows are included for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

Bottom Starting in Gold

Gold seems to be forming a bottom here, as you can see where I have placed the cyan arrow on the chart below. We now have weekly buying volume and that has pushed the price up to the Hawkeye Trend dot (illustrated by the magenta arrow) where it has found, as it usually does, resistance.

Gold Weekly Chart

However, the close was way above the open, and in the top 40% of the range of the bar which is bullish. BUT gold is still in monthly and weekly downtrend. However, this does look like the start of accumulation.

Gold Daily Chart

More clues here in the daily chart above, that accumulation has started. The cyan arrow shows several setups:

  1. Daily buying volume.
  2. Heatmap is bright green telling me that all 3 trends are to the upside.
  3. The large cyan dot on the Roadkill indicator, which I have set to 2 days. However, the 2-day Trend dots are still red.
  4. Trend on price in uptrend

Hawkeye Perspective

This is not a long yet, but a termination of the daily downtrend. The weekly is still in downtrend and the 2-day Roadkill trend is still red – so no trades.

But put gold on your radar. Accumulation is taking place. Be patient, a new uptrend will develop.

Now, all of this (and much more) is demonstrated in our FREE training room every Wednesday at 9am Eastern, by my colleague Randy Lindsey.

So, I cannot encourage you enough to come along to the Wednesday room.

Click Here To Reserve Your FREE Seat

Good fortune,

Nigel

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The cyan and magenta arrows are included for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

Miss The Perfect Entry? Here’s What Hawkeye Traders Do

When most people think about trading, the first thing that comes to mind is the stock market. After all, stocks are exciting. Every day, the moves of stocks are covered in the newspapers and the evening news. Everyone seems to be talking about making big money by trading and investing in the stock market.

Bonds, on the other hand, just don’t seem to have the same sex appeal. But, as Hawkeye Traders, we know we can leverage the principles of volume-based trading to make money with any trading instrument.

Even bonds!

So, in today’s article, let’s take a look at how to make great money trading bonds based on Hawkeye volume-based trading principles. And in particular, let’s consider the case where we might miss the initial entry and are forced to enter a little later.

Let’s start by considering what bonds were doing on Friday.

First off, by using my Gearbox indicator, I determined that the best tick speed to trade bonds was 1144 ticks.

Now, let’s say you happen to miss the first entry, and you’re wondering when the best time would be to get in to this trade.

Bonds Chart

Notice the arrows I have placed on this chart show you where you can enter the trend if you missed the original entry.

As you can see, the original entry was the first cyan arrow on the left hand side.

The other arrows I have placed are after the volume has gone from red to green or red to white to green.

So, this gave you four opportunities to get into this trend if you had missed the original entry.

If you missed the first entry, all you need to do is to wait for a pull back on the volume. It’s as simple as that!

So, in this summer period, look at the bonds, because I think we are going to get some great trading out of them.

I really was turned onto the bonds by my trading partner Hubert Senters, and it’s been great to discover this market which for me I had never touched, but I love it now.

Now, all of this (and much more) is demonstrated in our Wednesday room by my colleague Randy Lindsey.

So, I cannot encourage you enough to come along to the Wednesday room.

Click Here To Reserve Your Seat

Good fortune,

Nigel

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The cyan arrows are included for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

The Next 5 Minutes Could Change Your Trading Results Forever

There is no end to the debates among active traders about the pros and cons of swing trading vs. scalping. And the debate has been going on for years. However, in my opinion, two of the greatest failings of most traders are:

  • They trade on too short of a time frame
  • They fail to hold their trades for the maximum profits.

So, in this week’s article, I will highlight how to resolve these two problems by swing trading with Hawkeye indicators.

Below, I’ve included six charts in different time frames and markets. They span everything from stocks to bonds and commodities to Forex. Frankly, I could have included dozens of charts, because these principles of swing trading apply in any market. And by using Hawkeye indicators, finding extremely profitable entries and exits is easy.

The key thing to remember is to wait for the best entries, when all three time frames are in agreement. To illustrate, on each chart, I’ve marked the point where all time frames are in agreement and we are presented with a safe and easy entry as marked by the red and cyan arrows.

In every case, you can see that by waiting until all three timeframes are in agreement, you can enter a long and profitable trend. Then, by holding the trade until your profit target is hit, or you are stopped out, you can make significant profits without all the flurry of trying to get in and out with scalp trading.

Please take a few minutes to carefully study the charts below.

Stock – (Google)

Stocks - Google

Forex – (AUDNZD)

Forex - AUDNZD

Crude

Crude Oil

US Bonds

US Bonds

Stocks – (BHP)

Stocks - BHP

Forex – (AUDUSD)

Forex - AUDUSD

Now, all of this (and much more) is demonstrated in our Wednesday room by my colleague Randy Lindsey.

So, I cannot encourage you enough to come along to the Wednesday room.

Click Here To Reserve Your Seat

Good fortune,

Nigel

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The red and cyan arrows are included for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

How To Profit From the Current Volatility In Bonds With Hawkeye

Have you noticed the volatility in the bond markets lately? Because of the economic news coming out of the US, China, Europe, and especially Greece, there are some great trading opportunities for traders, and especially Hawkeye traders! So, in this week’s article, we will take a closer look at the 30 year U.S. bonds in line with our style of trading.

Let’s begin with the daily chart. First off, I want you to notice the green volume that’s coming into the market (as circled).

Bond Daily Chart

Although the Heat Map is currently red, we see a combination of both green volume and a Hawkeye Pivot (as marked by the yellow dot and cyan arrow). When we see a Pivot like this, we often get a 3, 5, or 7 bar reversal to the upside. So, if you wanted to try a long in this down trend, you certainly could. But remember, since the overall market bias is down, taking a long at this point would not be considered a trend-following trade, but only a quick-profit target trade.

With this in mind, let’s continue with the 5 minute chart.

Bond 5-Minute Chart

The first thing I want you to notice is the red vertical line near the left of the chart, which shows when the S&P session starts. Although the bonds open before the S&P, I like to see how they react to the S&P open before I take any trade. So, since there is green volume and a Pivot (as marked by the yellow dot), if a long comes in, we could take it.

However, since the overall weekly trend is heading downwards, we need to remember a long trade would be against the trend. So, if you decided to take a long, make sure you keep a well-defined profit target, because you should expect the possibility of a quick turn around with prices heading back down. And that’s exactly what happened (as marked by the red arrow). That’s why taking the short, in sync with the weekly downtrend, would be a safer approach.

And as we can see, it provided a great trend-following trade that we could ride all the way down with a variety of methods to manage and exit the trade. One good option would be to exit after the wide bar that comes in at the bottom (indicated in red), because we know from the Hawkeye wide bar rule that the odds of the next bar closing within the range of the wide bar is about 80%. So certainly, that would be a fine place to get out.

Given all the current volatility in this market, I encourage you to take a close look at trading the 5, 10, or 30 year bonds.

I suspect there will continue to be a lot of great trading opportunities in these markets over the next few months.

So, if you want to take advantage of this great trading, and don’t already have our Volume Starter Package, click here

And if you already have the Volume Starter Package and want to step up to the next level, click here

Good trading!

Nigel

We demonstrate this and many other methods in our live demonstration room held every Wednesday, and this is open to everyone. Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The red and cyan arrows are for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

Is There A Selloff Coming For The 30 Year US Bonds?

Lately, there’s been a lot of talk about a selloff in the 30 year US bonds, so I thought I would take the opportunity to analyze this market for you in this week’s Newsletter.

Let’s begin by looking at the monthly chart. The first thing to note in the chart below is the section I’ve circled in red, where we can see we’re experiencing distribution volume at the moment. That’s indicated by the alternating red, white, white, green, and red volume bars.

US Bonds Monthly Chart

The last two months have been green volume, but notice how they are declining volume, meaning they are lower than previous volumes. Now, in general, markets do not go down on declining volume. So, I would expect to see more volume coming in to this as the month continues, and then, we should see a turnaround here.

Next, I want you to notice the area I’ve circled in blue, along with the Pivot highs and lows, as indicated by the yellow dots and yellow lines.

And you can see, that the support level that was generated from the Hawkeye Pivot low. So, I’m expecting that this is not a turnaround, but it is just a distribution, meaning profit-taking at the top of this market before there is another push. But of course, this preliminary analysis is just based on reading the monthly chart in isolation, which you should never do. You should always look at three time frames in harmony with each other. So, let’s continue . . .

If we look at the weekly chart, it tells us a better picture.

US Bonds Weekly Chart

Look closely at the area I’ve circled at the bottom in red, and in particular, the two green bars of rising/increasing volume. Although we are in a distribution volume process, if this coming week gives me a third bar of green volume, I will consider the topping process has stopped, and we will be starting a new trend up. Also, notice how the Heatmap (the big solid indicator at the bottom) is dark red, showing me that not all trends have clicked in to the downside. So, this could well be a pause.

The other interesting thing I’ve marked on the chart is in the area of the red circle and the cyan arrow, where you can see that the prices have come down to the Hawkeye stop (the green cross running across the bottom of the chart). And it’s interesting how the prices have been down to that area four times, and this week, it straddled that. But certainly, it came back again, closed in the top of the range, showing that there is some bullish buying coming in there. So again, I would not expect a bond selloff at the moment.

Now to the daily chart.

US Bonds Daily Chart

Well, the daily chart shows us what really is happening. The red circle at the bottom around the volume again shows distribution volume. But, that is not showing us that this trend down is going to continue. It is showing us that there is distribution at the bottom of this trend run. And what I mean by distribution is there are many buyers and sellers coming into the market, all taking their positions.

So, I would say that the amateurs are going short, while the professionals are buying. Also, if we look at the red Hawkeye Trend dots going down, you can see they are all bunched up together, showing that the momentum to the downside is dissipating.

And it’s interesting to note the close on Friday closed above the Trend dot, showing us that the momentum is to the upside on the price level. The other thing to note is that the two bottom yellow Pivot dots are rising. So, you can see that the last Pivot low, that yellow dot is greater than the previous one, pushing this up. So again, I would expect this is a forerunner to a market move to the upside this coming week.

Good fortune,

Nigel

We demonstrate this and many other methods in our live demonstration room held every Wednesday, and this is open to everyone. Click this link for more information or to join us in class.

Please contact us at [email protected] for any questions you might have about using Hawkeye Indicators in your trading!

[The cyan arrows are for illustration only and do not form part of the software]

[sg_popup id=13743]